Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 6.547514 7.249171 8.057233 9.072864 10.340070 11.905765 14.051128
2024-12-22 5.474404 6.298742 7.320788 8.726668 10.694662 13.510851 18.231339
2024-12-29 4.966944 5.914679 7.172667 9.065593 12.070396 17.230840 28.967159
2025-01-05 4.518577 5.529407 6.948113 9.257212 13.393857 22.100141 53.307996
2025-01-12 4.031561 5.020099 6.459070 8.931386 13.779382 25.940239 104.280654
2025-01-19 3.613329 4.555602 5.964026 8.484531 13.798257 29.435411 295.770996
2025-01-26 3.484697 4.495784 6.084603 9.167104 16.766013 51.154360 NaN
2025-02-02 3.482653 4.626576 6.545923 10.719850 24.043827 263.516803 NaN
2025-02-09 3.368617 4.564653 6.665399 11.644470 31.757336 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 3.230451 4.444977 6.656761 12.292188 41.152208 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.084364 4.294401 6.561512 12.693771 52.446465 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 2.853840 3.974851 6.076974 11.773530 49.000772 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 2.733382 3.860416 6.047083 12.438385 73.614851 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.521954 3.564586 5.591399 11.541672 70.011933 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.409088 3.438132 5.487318 11.852884 104.782577 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.295683 3.300273 5.337924 11.958186 161.733234 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.155154 3.100785 5.022836 11.299851 162.370395 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.021922 2.906365 4.699769 10.522076 141.089289 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 1.983691 2.887023 4.777868 11.436340 867.816781 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 1.990242 2.953495 5.075389 13.690941 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.953686 2.931880 5.152466 15.036536 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.905477 2.882342 5.148513 15.973253 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.851417 2.816286 5.089467 16.536133 NaN NaN NaN